Expert record
Ray Dalio
Sep 10, 2026
The AI-related equity market is currently in a bubble analogous to historical technology bubbles (e.g., 1920s).
Markets
Ray Dalio
Aug 21, 2026
A U.S. debt crisis arrives around 2029 (±2 years) if fiscal trajectory is unchanged.
Economy
Ray Dalio
Aug 21, 2026
A portfolio allocation of 10-15% gold plus some Bitcoin will outperform a traditional bond-heavy portfolio in the coming debt-stress period.
Markets
Ray Dalio
Aug 1, 2026
Cash will deliver the worst long-term real returns among major asset classes due to inflation.
Markets
Ray Dalio
Jun 18, 2026
The period from the 2026 midterms to the 2028 presidential election will be particularly risky for the U.S. economy and monetary system.
Economy
Ray Dalio
May 2, 2026
Major economic/financial problems related to debt and order shifts materialize around 2028.
Economy
Ray Dalio
Apr 27, 2026
The U.S. economy is in a stagflationary environment (elevated inflation + slowing growth) as of April 2026.
Economy
Ray Dalio
Apr 13, 2025
The U.S. is very close to a recession, with risk of an outcome worse than a standard recession if policy is mishandled.
Economy
No resolved misses yet
No verified predictions match this view.