PUBLICLEDGER
OpenArchive capture
Major economic/financial problems related to debt and order shifts materialize around 2028.
- Expert
- Ray Dalio
- Prediction date
- May 2, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2028
- Category
- Economy & Rates
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“We’re on the brink of some of these problems... particularly in the vicinity of, you know, two years away”
Normalized claim
Major economic/financial problems related to debt and order shifts materialize around 2028.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Observable crisis indicators (sharp bond yield spikes, recession + high inflation, or monetary system stress) occurring by end of 2028, documented by Fed, Treasury, or NBER.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-05-02 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-11 04:48 UTC