Expert record
Ian Bremmer
@ianbremmerunverifiedPolitical scientist
Geopolitics & Conflict
- Accuracy
- —
- Resolved
- 0 / 0
- Correct / resolved
- Predictions
- 10
- Scored
- Takes
- 0
- Displayed, not scored
- Open
- 10
Latest calls
Ian Bremmer
Sep 8, 2026
The U.S.-China AI race is the biggest threat to the current détente between the two countries.
Geopolitics
Open
Ian Bremmer
Aug 25, 2026
Advanced AI will tend to strengthen closed/autocratic political systems relative to open democracies over time.
Geopolitics
Open
Ian Bremmer
Jul 22, 2026
The U.S. government will move toward greater direct influence and control over frontier AI companies, resembling Chinese-style industrial policy and oversight.
AI / Tech
Open
Ian Bremmer
Jun 8, 2026
If Ukraine approaches a humiliating defeat of Russia, the risk of Putin resorting to a tactical nuclear strike or direct attacks on NATO countries will increase significantly.
Geopolitics
Open
Ian Bremmer
Jan 6, 2026
The United States will be the principal source of global geopolitical risk in 2026.
Geopolitics
Open
Ian Bremmer
Jan 6, 2026
China has become the world’s first “electrostate” by mastering the electric technology stack (EVs, batteries, drones, robotics, AI power infrastructure).
Climate
Open
Ian Bremmer
Jan 6, 2026
2026 marks a tipping point in which the United States actively unwinds the post-WWII international order it previously led.
Geopolitics
Open
Ian Bremmer
Dec 23, 2025
The likelihood of direct military confrontation between the U.S. and Russia (and also with Iran and North Korea) is substantially higher than in recent prior periods.
Geopolitics
Open
Notable hits
No resolved hits yet
No verified predictions match this view.
Largest misses
No resolved misses yet
No verified predictions match this view.