Expert record
David Friedberg
Aug 31, 2026
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2028 U.S. presidential election.
Elections
David Friedberg
Aug 31, 2026
In-real-life (human-facing service) jobs will become significantly more valuable and expand as AI automates cognitive work.
Economy
David Friedberg
Aug 31, 2026
Human clinical trials for age-reversal therapies (epigenetic reprogramming) will begin within a few years (by ~2029–2030), starting with specific tissues.
Science
David Friedberg
Aug 4, 2026
New York City’s proposed city-owned grocery stores will outperform major private chains in demand and inspire similar programs in other U.S. cities.
Elections
David Friedberg
May 19, 2026
The upcoming year (following the statement) will be the hottest on record, with high likelihood of crop failures and commodity/energy price spikes due to El Niño.
Climate
David Friedberg
Jan 11, 2026
Prediction markets (especially Polymarket) will become a significant source of news/insights and Polymarket will have a breakout year in 2026.
Markets
David Friedberg
Nov 22, 2025
By end of 2026 Huawei will produce high-volume, low-cost AI accelerator chips competitive with leading Western (e.g., Nvidia-class) chips for at least some applications.
AI / Tech
David Friedberg
Jan 1, 2025
There will be a dramatic rise in socialist movements in the United States during 2025.
Elections
David Friedberg
Dec 18, 2020
U.S. climate change policy and initiatives will regain momentum under the incoming Biden administration in 2021.
Climate
David Friedberg
Dec 4, 2020
By December 2022 at least one non-Google/DeepMind group will publicly demonstrate a protein-folding model with AlphaFold-comparable accuracy.
Science
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