PUBLICLEDGER
OpenArchive capture
The Federal Reserve will not deliver rate hikes in the near term after mid-2026.
- Expert
- Mohamed El-Erian
- Prediction date
- Jul 20, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2026
- Category
- Economy & Rates
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“I don’t think we’re going to get any rate hikes.”
Normalized claim
The Federal Reserve will not deliver rate hikes in the near term after mid-2026.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Federal funds rate target remaining unchanged or lower (no hikes) through the remainder of 2026.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-07-20 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-12 23:48 UTC