PROJECT LIGHTHOUSE
Incorrect
The All-In Podcast will not present a “Best Turnaround” award until 2025.
- Expert
- Chamath Palihapitiya
- Prediction date
- Dec 24, 2022
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2024
- Category
- Media & Culture
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“There may be no turnaround award until 2025.”
Resolution
Incorrect
The 2023 Bestie Awards episode explicitly included a “Best Turnaround” segment.
Resolved Dec 29, 2023 · 00:00 UTC
Normalized claim
The All-In Podcast will not present a “Best Turnaround” award until 2025.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
All-In Podcast Bestie Awards episodes for 2023 and 2024 (YouTube chapter lists / transcripts) either contain or omit a “Best Turnaround” segment.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2022-12-24 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-11 04:07 UTC
- Resolution approved2026-09-11 04:07 UTC