PUBLICLEDGER
OpenArchive capture
The peak of the recent inflation episode has passed as of mid-2026.
- Expert
- Mohamed El-Erian
- Prediction date
- Jul 20, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2027
- Category
- Economy & Rates
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“I think the worst of the inflation is behind us.”
Normalized claim
The peak of the recent inflation episode has passed as of mid-2026.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Subsequent CPI/PCE readings remaining below 2022–2025 peaks and trending lower or stable, per BLS/BEA data through 2027.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-07-20 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-12 23:48 UTC