Approximately 30% of Microsoft’s code is written by AI (as of early/mid-2025).

Expert: Satya Nadella
Prediction date: Apr 1, 2025
Deadline: Dec 31, 2025
Category: AI & Technology
Explicit confidence: Not stated

Original statement

“As much as 30% of the company’s code is now written by artificial intelligence.”

Satya Nadella@satyanadellaApr 1, 2025 · 00:00 UTCView source

Resolution

Correct

Nadella publicly stated this figure based on internal Microsoft metrics; no contradictory official data has emerged.

Primary evidence

CNBC interview and Microsoft statements

Resolved Dec 31, 2025 · 00:00 UTC

Normalized claim

Approximately 30% of Microsoft’s code is written by AI (as of early/mid-2025).

A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.

Resolution criteria

Microsoft internal or public disclosures confirming AI-generated code percentage around that level in 2025 engineering reports or earnings commentary.

Market context

No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.

Audit trailView full history

Source recorded2025-04-01 00:00 UTC
Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-11 04:52 UTC
Resolution approved2026-09-11 04:52 UTC