PROJECT LIGHTHOUSE
Resolution pending
The FOMC will raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points at its September 2026 meeting.
- Expert
- Claudia Sahm
- Prediction date
- Sep 14, 2026
- Deadline
- Sep 17, 2026
- Category
- Economy & Rates
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee is highly likely to raise the federal funds rate by a quarter point.”
Normalized claim
The FOMC will raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points at its September 2026 meeting.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Federal Reserve FOMC statement following the September 2026 meeting showing a 25 bp increase in the target range.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-09-14 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-14 23:07 UTC