PROJECT LIGHTHOUSE
Incorrect
Tesla launches unsupervised Full Self-Driving as a paid robotaxi service in Austin in June 2025.
- Expert
- Elon Musk
- Prediction date
- Jan 29, 2025
- Deadline
- Jun 30, 2025
- Category
- AI & Technology
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“We're going to be launching unsupervised Full Self-Driving as a paid service in Austin in June.”
Resolution
Incorrect
Robotaxi service launched in Austin in June 2025 but with a safety monitor present in the vehicle, not unsupervised.
Resolved Jun 22, 2025 · 00:00 UTC
Normalized claim
Tesla launches unsupervised Full Self-Driving as a paid robotaxi service in Austin in June 2025.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Tesla public launch announcement or operational robotaxi service in Austin with no safety driver/monitor by June 30, 2025.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2025-01-29 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-11 04:34 UTC
- Resolution approved2026-09-11 04:34 UTC