PROJECT LIGHTHOUSE
Open
Within the next decade (by ~2036) the world will get back on track and enter a new era of unprecedented progress.
- Expert
- Bill Gates
- Prediction date
- Jan 9, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2036
- Category
- Other
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“I believe that, within the next decade, we will not only get the world back on track but enter a new era of unprecedented progress.”
Normalized claim
Within the next decade (by ~2036) the world will get back on track and enter a new era of unprecedented progress.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Major global indicators (poverty rates, child mortality, disease burden, clean energy deployment per World Bank/WHO/IEA data) showing substantial improvement and accelerated progress by 2036 relative to mid-2020s baselines.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-01-09 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-11 04:23 UTC