PROJECT LIGHTHOUSE
Open
SpaceX Starship V3 is built and tested (possibly flown) by end of 2025; V4 arrives in 2027.
- Expert
- Elon Musk
- Prediction date
- Aug 27, 2025
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2027
- Category
- Science & Space
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“This slide needs an update, but gives a rough idea of what we’re aiming for with V3 and V4. V3 should be built & tested (maybe flown) by end of this year. V4 is 2027. Probably closer to 150m height and 7500 tons.”
Normalized claim
SpaceX Starship V3 is built and tested (possibly flown) by end of 2025; V4 arrives in 2027.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
SpaceX public updates, photos, or flight logs confirming Starship V3 hardware completion/testing by 2025-12-31 and V4 progress by 2027.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2025-08-27 21:12 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-11 04:34 UTC