PROJECT LIGHTHOUSE
Open
OpenAI has an internal system that Sam Altman would call AGI by the end of 2026.
- Expert
- Sam Altman
- Prediction date
- Aug 26, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2026
- Category
- AI & Technology
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“The OpenAI CEO says the company is “not quite yet” at AGI, but expects to have an internal system he would call AGI by the end of 2026.”
Normalized claim
OpenAI has an internal system that Sam Altman would call AGI by the end of 2026.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
OpenAI public statement, TIME interview follow-up, or technical report confirming an internal system meeting Altman’s/OpenAI’s definition of AGI by 2026-12-31.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-08-26 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-11 04:50 UTC